Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.278612 11.838503 13.509261 15.426602 17.560635 19.857411 22.510665
2025-11-23 7.764493 9.785555 12.106145 14.947655 18.311893 22.146187 26.823578
2025-11-30 6.482276 8.753954 11.502999 15.033794 19.403865 24.588941 31.155553
2025-12-07 5.550995 7.959504 11.008360 15.084457 20.317387 26.731807 35.101639
2025-12-14 4.876579 7.379297 10.676650 15.241991 21.290026 28.910830 39.106228
2025-12-21 4.286263 6.824865 10.297034 15.261961 22.029689 30.770837 42.727015
2025-12-28 3.922468 6.536101 10.231160 15.665432 23.257052 33.270901 47.226130
2026-01-04 3.574317 6.224320 10.091804 15.933315 24.283853 35.516094 51.440740
2026-01-11 3.217406 5.855225 9.828143 15.987515 24.990831 37.330172 55.113008
2026-01-18 2.790361 5.324711 9.272189 15.562523 24.973047 38.122162 57.391991
2026-01-25 2.443365 4.883496 8.809675 15.232227 25.053259 39.026272 59.824288
2026-02-01 2.140146 4.480186 8.368419 14.894116 25.086641 39.841937 62.132012
2026-02-08 1.878919 4.123383 7.975876 14.608985 25.188183 40.765297 64.637821
2026-02-15 1.620086 3.738275 7.500396 14.152256 24.991931 41.231069 66.483360
2026-02-22 1.478931 3.559792 7.362418 14.234670 25.631707 42.946666 70.189360
2026-03-01 1.347779 3.384445 7.213179 14.283124 26.210265 44.577951 73.804956
2026-03-08 1.244055 3.252224 7.129382 14.433796 26.952868 46.473722 77.857653
2026-03-15 1.133735 3.091657 6.978114 14.452897 27.472612 48.032460 81.433007
2026-03-22 1.077222 3.042312 7.033068 14.838854 28.614088 50.589525 86.589065
2026-03-29 1.010462 2.961247 7.018767 15.095153 29.541413 52.829176 91.305301
2026-04-05 0.928070 2.832707 6.898888 15.147014 30.115607 54.515878 95.197371
2026-04-12 0.810000 2.600474 6.547514 14.740404 29.870961 54.867420 96.996777
2026-04-19 0.713031 2.405685 6.255224 14.424457 29.764689 55.430451 99.131328